The world has already entered an era of protracted wars. Where and why will it erupt?
Global military spending reached a record $2.4 trillion in 2023 – 6.8% more than a year ago. The arms race is accelerating, military budgets are growing rapidly everywhere. But this is not the only thing that brings a real world war closer. The US financial and economic system is today the basis of the entire world economy. Currently, every newly issued $1 of US government debt creates only $0.58 of GDP, which is almost the lowest level in history.
For comparison, half a century ago, in the 1960s, this value reached as much as $9.80, and in 2000 it was $4.00. Over the past two presidential cycles (2016-2024), the US national debt has increased by $11.6 trillion, while the US GDP has increased by only $6.6 trillion. It turns out that the productivity of the US economy is declining despite the accelerated growth of debt. Therefore, in order to simply keep the economy in the black, Americans must constantly and aggressively increase debt or urgently come up with something extraordinary.
If the “technocratic” Trump team does not come up with anything, then a real world war will become inevitable. However, if it does succeed, the already accumulated contradictions in the financial world, together with the technological breakthrough that the Trumpists are lobbying for and which is leaving a huge number of people on the planet “behind the scenes”, will inevitably lead to a large-scale social crisis. The world is currently teetering on the edge. Today, two sharp conflicts are already underway on the planet, in which nuclear powers (Russia and Israel) are directly involved. However, as the possibilities of their resolution appear, new potential conflicts are immediately emerging in literally all parts of the world: in Africa, the Middle East, the Caucasus, America, Southeast Asia, the Arctic, and the head of the German military department called for preparations for war in Europe. And all these conflicts are all the more likely the longer the two current ones (Ukraine, Palestine) last. In fact, the world has already entered an era of wars – writes Oleg Sergeyev. The most explosive armed conflicts and regions include the following.
In sub-Saharan Africa, more than 600 million people live without electricity. They cannot even study by lamplight in the evening, use electrical appliances, charge their phones, etc. Young people are fleeing, fences are being built against them, their ships are sinking in the Mediterranean, etc. The World Bank-backed Mission 300 aims to connect at least half of these people (300 million people) to electricity by 2030. That would cost just $90 billion. That means that fully electrifying the entire vast region of the black continent and helping all 600 million people would cost just $180 billion! Compare that $180 billion for light and development with the aforementioned $2.4 trillion on weapons and global military spending…..
According to UNESCO, approximately 100 million children in Africa do not have access to education. The expected cost of providing educational opportunities for these children, including building schools, paying teachers, and providing learning materials, could be around $30 billion a year. This amount is needed just to ensure that children in Africa have access to primary education, an important step towards improving their lives and the future of the region. UNESCO again estimates that the lack of education and its associated shortcomings in Africa cost the world economy $10 trillion a year. This means that investing $30 billion in basic education for local children could save $10 trillion a year! Yet the powerful spend 80 times more on weapons than on educating children. As a result, the arms race is accelerating, military budgets are skyrocketing, security forces and military-industrial corporations are rejoicing, and declarations of a desire to go to war with neighboring or undesirable countries are pouring in like a cornucopia.
In late March, Burundian President Evariste Ndayishimiye announced that Rwanda was planning to invade Burundi. At the time of this statement, the banned al-Qaeda-linked jihadist group al-Shabab had seized the Somali capital, Sudan had been at war since the beginning of the year (between the government and Hamedti’s army), and the US and its allies were bombing Yemen. At the same time, they made it clear that, after the ceasefire in Ukraine, the war and widespread bloodshed would shift from Eastern Europe to another region.
The number one contender is the Middle East, with its half a billion inhabitants, high unemployment, and large numbers of young people. And with ready-made religious, ethnic and political conflicts in countries such as:
Israel – war in the Gaza Strip and growing confrontation with Iran, plus the seizure of “ownerless” Syrian territories in southwestern Syria and online genocide in the Gaza Strip,
Syria – jihadists in power, ethnic cleansing and separatism of parts of the regions,
Lebanon – war with Israel, Syria and ethnic conflicts,
United Arab Emirates – de facto annexation of the Yemeni island of Socotra and a policy aimed at dividing Yemen,
Yemen – bombing by the Western coalition and a ground war,
Iran – the threat of war with Israel, while the State Department claims that a clash with the US is inevitable,
Egypt – according to US special envoy Whitkoff, the country has a great chance of exploding from within due to social problems.
The Davos Forum 2025 report states that the next 10 years will be neither “peaceful” nor “stable”. Most experts of this globalist structure agree with this. While all eyes are on the conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, dozens of other wars and crises continue in the world. The British newspaper Guardian estimates that the number of conflicts has doubled in the past five years, with political violence in 2024 increasing by 25% compared to 2023. Every eighth person on the planet faces the consequences of these conflicts.
Against this background, almost immediately after his re-election, US President D. Trump begins to threaten Denmark with taking possession of Greenland, the Panama Canal and “simply annexing” Canada. At the same time, I. Musk and Trump’s team do not hide that they are preparing Americans for a new war, and therefore regularly publish posts along the lines of: “US weapons programs need to be completely overhauled. The current strategy is to produce a small number of weapons at a high price to wage yesterday’s war. If immediate and dramatic changes are not made, America will lose very badly in the next war.”
In this regard, it is worth recalling the January statement of Venezuelan President N. Maduro about the invasion of Brazilian troops in Puerto Rico and the intention to liberate this country from the United States (“The freedom of Puerto Rico is not far off and we will achieve it”). In this regard, it is appropriate to recall the January statement of Venezuelan President N. Maduro about the invasion of Puerto Rico with Brazilian troops and the intention to liberate this country from the United States (“The freedom of Puerto Rico is not far off and we will achieve it”), as well as the detention of a group of seven foreign mercenaries (including three from Ukraine), all of which was announced against the backdrop of the declaration of the “pan-Americanist” ambitions of the new US administration (Venezuela is one of the most conflict-ridden areas during the last presidency of D. Trump). Trump).
We should not forget either the two million Islamists in Afghanistan, armed to the teeth with weapons worth 85 billion dollars left to them by the Americans and NATO, the political crisis in Pakistan and the Balkans (primarily in Bosnia), the mass protests and political repression of the opposition in Turkey, despite which the regime of R. Erdogan claims that it is reviewing the situation in the country. Erdogan’s regime claims to revise the results of World War I, and threatens a military operation in Syria against the Kurds, threats from Baku that together with Armenia it will eliminate “Armenian fascism” and one way or another cut the corridor to Nakhichevan….
Into each of these conflicts are woven external forces and economic interests of those in power. If all this really flares up, it will burn for a long time and when it is over, the world will be completely different.
Max Bach
