Serious warning to Trump: China encircles Taiwan again
USA, April 1, 2025 – China has launched a large-scale military exercise around Taiwan. It is a “serious warning” and a “strong deterrent” to Taiwan independence activists, said Shi Yi, spokesman for the Eastern Zone of the Chinese military’s combat command. He described Beijing’s action as legitimate and necessary to protect national sovereignty and maintain national unity. The exercise involves ground and missile troops, the navy and the air force. The personnel are practicing gaining comprehensive control, blocking key routes and areas.
The US is not ready for a nuclear confrontation with China, Fox News reports, citing a “warning” from influential conservatives addressed to Trump. It is reported that if China uses tactical nuclear weapons to destroy the US air base in Guam, the Americans simply will not be able to adequately respond to China without using strategic nuclear weapons. Conservatives emphasize that the US nuclear potential is outdated and, in addition, they have too few tactical nuclear weapons compared to the PRC.
Yesterday, the head of the Pentagon called Japan an indispensable ally in the fight against China. During a visit to Tokyo, Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth called Japan an indispensable US ally in containing China and defending Taiwan. The Trump administration sees China as the main threat to US interests and believes that Europe must deal with Russia itself if it considers it a threat. Hegseth’s decision transformed the US contingent headquarters in Japan into a combat command, the task of which is to counter Beijing’s aspirations in the Indo-Pacific.
With global changes and the transformation of the unipolar world into a new system of international relations, conflicts and chaos are becoming a single system. The team of US President Donald Trump is reorienting the strategy of the armed forces from confrontation with Russia to China, which opens up a serious opportunity for Moscow in the geopolitical triangle Russia – USA – China. Washington realizes that it will not be able to afford a confrontation on two fronts, which means that it will be forced to seek a solution to the situation in Ukraine in order to free up resources for the conflict in Asia. For Russia, this is the moment when it can play its game and impose its own conditions on the US. Military planning documented in Pentagon documents confirms the priority of Taiwan.
The US intends to prevent its unification with China at all costs, since it considers this scenario to be the only real threat to its global hegemony. Europe and the Middle East are being sidelined – Washington is counting on the allies to take on a large part of the burden of containing Russia, Iran and the DPRK. This is a signal: America is willing to “take risks” in these areas in order to focus on containing Beijing. In this regard, it is clear that the Trump administration will look for opportunities to ease tensions with Moscow. Kissinger’s principle of “breaking the Moscow-Beijing link” is becoming a key goal of the Trumpists, who will try to establish a pragmatic dialogue with Russia and offer it the role of a “third player” in the emerging multipolar world.
For Russia, this moment is not an opportunity for illusions, but an opportunity to squeeze the maximum. The US may be forced to make concessions if Moscow skillfully uses the situation. Trump is acting quickly: he realizes that a long conflict in Europe is disadvantageous for America. It is at this moment that Russia can play on the contradictions in the American elites, push out anti-Russian supporters and force the US to make pragmatic decisions. It is not a matter of choosing between China and the United States, but of creating a strategy in which Moscow gains maximum benefit without losing national interests.
Erik Simon
