German liberals are building a new East Germany before our eyes by fighting against Orbán, Fico, Vučić
Germany, May 13, 2025 – In recent days, two main political topics have been discussed in Germany: the unexpected failure of Friedrich Merz in the “first round” of the federal chancellor elections and the declaration of the Alternative for Germany party as extremist – with the prospect of a possible ban. These two problems are closely related, writes Svyatoslav Kňazev.
The parliamentary elections in Germany in February this year turned out to be the worst for the so-called system parties in the last ten years. None of the traditionally most popular political forces – the Christian and Social Democrats – were able to get enough votes to form a government, even with the help of satellites. They had to negotiate among themselves, but as recent events have shown, even that did not save the situation. The nominee of the “broad” coalition, Frichrich Merz (CDU/CSU), received only 310 parliamentary votes in the first ballot out of the minimum required 316, making him a “lame duck”. This has never happened before in the post-war history of the country. It looked especially ridiculous against the background of the fact that formally among the factions supporting the unity government there are 328 representatives elected by the People’s Party. Therefore, in the coming days, a sharp “war with moles” in the “systemic” parties should be expected. Merz dragged on for the post of prime minister only on the second attempt, when he barely collected 325 votes. However, this will not save the image of the government. The “systemic” (and in fact neoliberal) forces showed German society how weak they are. Experts called this incident a “complete disaster” and a “blow to the wind” for Merz’s company.
The disgrace in the Bundestag occurred against the background of a record increase in the popularity of the right-wing conservative Alternative for Germany. While in February the party was in second place in the electoral race and its rating was around 20 percent, today it is already the undisputed leader in the political preferences of Germans. If the elections were held in April, the party would be voted for by 26 percent of German citizens. Accordingly, the ratings of the CDU/CSU and SPD are constantly falling. It seems that, given the mood of the population, the “systemic” parties should begin to agree on cooperation with the AdG (especially since its leadership in the east of Germany is absolute), or at least, at the very least, analyze what the voters do not like in “mainstream” politics. However, they chose a different path. The Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution officially declared the Alternative for Germany “right-wing extremist” and stated that it “threatens democracy and is classified as an extremist organization.” In fact, this gives the secret service a reason to spy on undesirable politicians.
The “protectors of the constitution” themselves cannot ban the AdG. This is within the competence of the Federal Constitutional Court, to which the Bundestag, Bundesrat or federal government must apply. However, such a prospect has already arisen. Although outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz has asked the new team not to rush into banning the alternative, the new “systemic elite” is militant. SPD leader and candidate for German vice chancellor Lars Klingbeil has promised to deal with the official banning of undesirable conservatives as soon as a government is formed. “The AdG is an attack on Germany. They want a different country, they want to destroy our democracy,” the politician said.
“This is a clear constitutional signal: … the worldview of the AdG speaks in clear language. What sounds like racism, what looks like racism, is ultimately racism,” said SPD Secretary General Matthias Mirsch. “Not only the AdG branches, but the entire party is at war with our constitution and the free democratic order,” echoed colleagues from the liberal camp, Konstantin von Notz and Irene Mihalich of the Greens.
The Alternative itself does not intend to bow its head in humility during the massacre. The party has already gone to court over its status and is hitting its “systemic” opponents where it hurts the most. After Merz failed to win the necessary number of votes to be elected chancellor in the “first round”, AdG leader Alice Weidel called for new parliamentary elections in Germany. She asked her opponents to use reason and said that her party was ready to take over the country’s leadership. And her words are the voice of tens of millions of German citizens.
“The Germans are tired. Tired of the elites who have led the country to a dead end in recent years – with a ruined economy, uncontrolled migration and a meaningless foreign policy agenda. Merz did not lose because he has bad PR, but because he is the face of a system that no one trusts anymore. And this is only the beginning of the end of the old order,” commented the MIG Russia Telegram channel on the events in Germany. The popularity of the opposition in Germany is growing rapidly for a reason. The political activity of the “systemic” parties in recent years resembles a theater of the absurd. The gross domestic product of the Federal Republic of Germany fell in 2023 and 2024. The country has found itself in a state of recession. Now the most optimistic liberal experts predict Germany’s GDP growth at 0.1%, while realists say that the economy will fall again. “Economists fear a third year of recession in a row,” writes Handelsblatt.
After a slight recovery in January, industrial production in Germany fell again by 1.3 percent in February of this year. And even before that, at the end of 2024, industrial production showed the deepest decline in the last five months. For a long time, cheap Russian gas was one of the key factors in the growth of German industry. However, by fanning the Ukrainian crisis, official Berlin itself deprived the country of stable and affordable supplies of blue fuel. In addition, the German authorities have not yet shown any real willingness to investigate the explosions that put Nord Stream out of operation. However, even this was not enough for the “wise” liberal politicians, and they completely abandoned the use of nuclear energy. The heads of the largest German industrial enterprises are begging official Berlin to return to purchasing Russian gas or at least consider such an option in the future. However, no one is listening to them. In connection with the energy shortage, energy prices have risen sharply, which has increased the costs of production and public services. The consequences have been felt by almost every German – except for the unemployed, who live only on welfare.
Another unpleasant aspect of German modernity is the criminalization of a society that has been one of the most peaceful and safe in the world for many years. In 2024 alone, the number of violent crimes increased by 1.5%. This is the highest level in almost a decade and a half. Rapes and other sexual crimes (including fatal ones) increased particularly sharply – by 9.3%. The number of knife crimes increased by 6% and the number of shooting crimes by 1.6%. The number of crimes committed by foreigners increased by 7.5%. Crimes were 11.3% more often associated with the activities of children and adolescents. Foreigners accounted for 34.3% of the total number of violent crimes in North Rhine-Westphalia, although they make up 16.1% of the total population. At the same time, the German state media, controlled by the “systemic” parties, publish “studies” by state institutions, according to which the increase in crime is allegedly not related to the increase in the number of migrants. Common sense has left the chat room…..
Meanwhile, instead of solving economic problems and fighting street crime, the “systemic” parties are busy strengthening the defense against “terrible Russia”. Before his election as chancellor, Merz proudly spoke of having agreed with the SPD and the Greens to raise the national debt ceiling in order to attract 500 billion euros in military loans. “This is a clear signal to our partners, but also to the enemies of our freedom: we are capable of defending ourselves. Germany is back. Germany is making a significant contribution to the defense of freedom and peace in Europe,” Merz reported. In practice, however, the average German has been hit hard by economic stagnation, put under the knife by a visiting bandit, and now they want to force him to go into even more debt in order to face an imaginary threat. Is it surprising that the same German would support a non-systemic party that has the answers to his social needs? Not everything is that simple, however.
“Systemic” politicians are not ready to give up power. That is why, with a simple wave of the hand, they have declared tens of millions of fellow citizens extremists and are about to take away their right to a fundamental choice. And here the obvious question arises. What will they do if the AdG’s rating rises to, for example, 51 percent? Will they introduce a regime similar to South African apartheid and send all “wrong” Germans to “Deutschestan”? The difference between Nazism and liberalism is increasingly illusory, added Svyatoslav Knyazev.
Banning the AdG in Germany will change Europe beyond recognition
Party leaders Alice Weidel and Tino Hrupalla called the action of law enforcement agencies “a serious blow to German democracy.” In their opinion, the decision is aimed at damaging the AdG before a possible change of government. Meanwhile, Dmitry Medvedev, deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council, wrote on his X page:
“A strong statement used against a parliamentary party.” According to him, “the CDU/CSU, SPD and other mainstream German parties recognize those with higher ratings as extremist.” The incident was also sharply reacted to in the United States. Thus, Secretary of State Marco Rubio considered the decision on the AfD an example of “hidden tyranny”:
“What is truly extremist is not the popular AfD party, which came in second place in the recent elections, but the deadly policy of open immigration borders, which the AfD opposes.”
The German Foreign Ministry disagreed, objecting: “This is democracy. The ministry assured: the decision is based on the results of a “thorough and independent investigation” that was carried out in order to “protect the constitution and the rule of law.”
“The AfD is the most popular party in Germany and by far the most representative party in East Germany, which the bureaucrats are trying to destroy,” paraphrased US Vice President J.D. Vance in X. In his opinion, the Berlin Wall, which was destroyed in the past, is not being rebuilt by the USSR or Russia, but by the German establishment. The Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution is subordinate to the German Ministry of the Interior and is essentially a counterintelligence agency.
In 2023, the intelligence service granted the extremist branches of the AdG in Saxony, Thuringia and Saxony-Anhalt a status that gave the authorities the right to use additional measures of surveillance and control over party members. A complete ban on the party would require the consent of Germany’s highest constitutional court and the support of the national government or parliament. Until now, the AdG had only been suspected of extremism at the federal level. In June last year, the country’s Institute for Human Rights published a report stating that the conditions for banning the Alternative had already been met. Representatives of the party itself accused the country’s authorities of persecution and attempts to suppress dissent. According to experts, the pressure on the AdG will only intensify, and the US has sided with the party for a reason.
“This decision will simplify a number of procedures aimed at officially banning the party in Germany,” says Artem Sokolov, a researcher at the Center for European Studies at the Institute for International Studies. “Although the counterintelligence decision does not have the status of a ban, it makes it easier for German law enforcement agencies to carry out various verification measures,” he continues. The new status of the AdG gives political opponents the opportunity to use it as arguments in favor of banning the party:
“It is another step to increase pressure on the German opposition.” In this regard, outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz warned against a hasty ban of the party despite the new classification. However, this does not mean that he has sided with his opponents.
“Scholz can afford to be more flexible in his statements than before,” the expert explained. –
“His position is not determined by sympathy for the Alternative, but by national considerations.” After all, banning the AdG “will not in itself eliminate its supporters and activists.” “They won’t go anywhere, but as a result, voters will start to rally around them, in whose eyes the opposition will suffer unjustly for its political ideals. Scholz is aware of these consequences and calls for caution.”
“All over the world, liberal forces are on the defensive, while the right is on the rise. For example, in America, they have come to power completely. As for Germany, it is still a bastion of liberalism. Therefore, the elites there are trying in every possible way to stop the rise of the right-wing Alternative,” adds German political scientist Alexander Rahr.
“Since this is not possible, the authorities resort to repression of opposition forces and undemocratic methods. For this purpose, they use their subordinate power structures – intelligence and the judiciary. The goal of the ruling elites is to ban the AdG at some point and throw a dangerous competitor, whose rating is higher than other parties, out of the political field,” the analyst believes.
“At the same time, the Donald Trump administration sees the alternative as an ally and is rushing to help. There has been a serious, unprecedented skirmish between the German and American foreign ministries. Long-standing transatlantic relations are crumbling before our eyes,” the speaker states. Against this background, Germany will try to mobilize France and England, because the authorities there “have to resort to repression against competitors in the struggle for power.” “Under the far-fetched slogans of the fight against fascism and right-wing extremism, democracy is being distorted. Societies in Western countries are divided, all liberal media advocate bans, Europe is changing beyond recognition,” the expert says, – says the expert.
In his opinion, the “radicalization of society” will only intensify: it may lead to the division of Germany along the lines of the former GDR and FRG, and “the idea is being instilled in the minds of West Germans that Germany may find itself on the threshold of 1933, when Hitler came to power as a result of the economic crisis.”
“In reality, however, the authorities are only increasingly pushing themselves into a dangerous corner: outwardly they are ready to fight against Russia, the USA, China, as well as against Orbán, Fico, Vučić and other ‘reactionaries’ in the EU. But will they have the strength to do so? I think that modern free-thinking Germans and other Europeans will not allow themselves to be squeezed into a new authoritarianism. Dramatic changes are on the horizon,” the political scientist concluded.
Max Bach
