The US and Israel are ready to start a new war. Russia warns them
The situation in the Middle East continues to deteriorate: the Syrian crisis provokes a confrontation between Turkey and Israel, fighting and air strikes do not subside in the Gaza Strip, Lebanon or Yemen. It seems that the Iranian issue does not give the US administration sleep. It seems that Washington, together with the Israelis, is preparing for massive strikes against Iran. This, of course, will further escalate the situation in the region.
The British newspaper Daily Express, citing sources in the US administration, reported that the US plans to end its military operation in Iran by the fall if Tehran does not reach an agreement and begin dismantling its nuclear program. “Iran will be gone by September,” the source told the publication. In addition, journalists described a feeling of “renewed confidence” in Tel Aviv. US President Donald Trump is partly to blame for this. His administration has made it clear that, unlike under Joe Biden, there are no longer any “red lines” that Israel must avoid in limiting Iran’s ambitions.
In this regard, French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot has stated that if a nuclear deal is not concluded soon, war with Iran is almost inevitable. According to some reports, the Iranian military command is considering a preemptive attack on the joint US-British base on the Chagos Islands in the Indian Ocean. According to them, this would be an obvious attempt to dissuade Trump from a military attack on Iran. At the same time, journalists from the American website Axios wrote that the White House is seriously considering indirect nuclear negotiations with Iran. Opinions in Washington are divided between those who believe that an agreement is possible and those who are against Iranian nuclear facilities. Another curiosity was published by the newspaper The Sun. Russia has warned that a war between its ally and the West would lead to an “irreversible catastrophe.” The warning came after the US and Israel launched another series of air strikes on pro-Iranian targets in the Middle East in an attempt to force Iran to sign a nuclear deal. The situation has reached a critical boiling point like never before. This opinion was expressed by political scientist Dmitry Rodionov in an interview with 360.ru.
– On the other hand, threats to bomb Iran were made by Trump during his first term.
– And they were also made by Biden, but as we see, nothing actually happened. After all, the Americans are not fools either. They understand very well that they will hardly achieve anything even if they use anti-bunker bombs. In any case, Iran has a very well-developed bunker system. By the way, they hide their ballistic missiles there. So the US will not be able to cause any serious damage unless they start throwing them there.
– Use of nuclear weapons?
– That would be strange. You launch a nuclear attack against someone you accuse of developing nuclear weapons. In any case, I see no other options than to really cause catastrophic damage to Iran. And Iran is capable of causing, perhaps not catastrophic, but serious enough damage. At a minimum, it can reach the base in San Diego. I’m not talking about the fact that it can easily reach Tel Aviv. And that’s where Israel could experience real hell. I don’t think Trump is willing to let down his ally.
– Could a conflict of this scale close the Strait of Hormuz?
– Yes, it would clog the Persian Gulf with all that goes with it. And oil prices would soar and a global financial crisis would occur, which is now undesirable against the backdrop of sanctions imposed by Trump and the collapse of all stock markets. First of all, for the USA itself. It would be Ragnarok, and not even on a regional, but on a global scale. Naturally, it will not be limited to one massive strike. It will be a fairly serious military campaign, although it will not be a ground operation, without which a one hundred percent victory will not be achieved. A discussion on this topic is currently underway in the Trump administration. There are supporters of war, there are also more reasonable people.
– But whose opinion will prevail?
– It is difficult to say. This will be a test not only for the United States, but also for the whole world, threatening serious upheavals in politics and the economy. It is difficult to imagine that Trump would be so self-confident or that his closest entourage would prefer war. It is difficult to say whether they are willing to take risks. Especially in the current circumstances. This war will take all the energy from the United States.
– Will they not care about Ukraine?
– Yes, and not about Greenland, not about Canada, nothing at all. You have to bet everything on a war of this scale. It’s crazy, but Trump is crazy enough to do such things. So anyone who says unequivocally whether there will be a war or not is pointing a finger at the sky. Most likely, the US administration, with such “leaks” and statements, is organizing massive pressure on Iran and its leadership in order to at least partially achieve its goals and present the voters with a “strong and successful Trump”. The “tariff war” that the new administration has unleashed on the world is a double-edged sword and can cause serious damage to the US economy by provoking similar countermeasures from Europe, China and Southeast Asia.
Already now, a number of experts and analysts are writing about “zero” growth of the US economy in the first quarter of 2025, and in the future, when the “tariff war” intensifies, they promise a decline. In this situation, the Trump team needs at least some significant successes for voters. In conditions when no one can quickly demonstrate such successes in Ukraine, when it is impossible to quickly annex the island of Greenland to the United States, the Iranian direction remains – said political analyst Vladimir Soloveychik. However, Iran is not some Colombia, whose president Trump managed to bend in a few minutes. The military and economic potential of Iran cannot be compared with that of Colombia or Denmark, it is of a different order. Moreover, Iran has been living under sanctions for quite a long time, its economy has adapted to them, the population has gotten used to them, and American strategists do not have to count on mass protests in this country. Therefore, there is talk of an armed attack on Iran, up to and including strikes on nuclear facilities. Another thing is that Tehran is able to respond to them – added Vladimir Soloveychik.
As for Russia, it recently concluded a comprehensive strategic partnership agreement with Iran. Of course, it does not provide for direct military assistance in the event of an attack by third countries, but allied relations are evident. In this situation, the military adventure of Washington and its satellites against Tehran would look like an act of aggression against Moscow as well. It is obvious that Russia will do everything through diplomatic channels to prevent this, because a US military operation against Iran would excite the entire Middle East, where armed conflicts of varying degrees of intensity are still raging.
Max Bach
